Each factor read for AUD and for CHF, and what it means for the pair.
−6
Bearish
| Technical | Bearish | −1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −3 |
| Macro | Bearish | −2 |
|---|
| 7 sessions | 0.49% | |
|---|---|---|
| 90 sessions | 0.34% |
Average daily move
AUD surprise 75%, 3 of 4 beatCHF surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | AUD | CHF | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.02% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 30.5% | 69.5% | −0.10 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.84 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 64% long, 36% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | No score | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | 2 Sept | 2 Dec | 1.5% | — | — | No value | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 22 Nov | 56.7 | 55.3 | +1.4 | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | No value | 1.6% | 3.0% | −1.4% | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | −2.7 | — | — | No value | No value | −43 | −35 | −8 | 6 Nov | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 4.3% | 4.2% | +0.1% | 28 Oct | 25 Nov | 1.5% | 1.3% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | 2 Dec | |
| Unavailable | 1.1% | 1.0% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | No value | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | 4.95%, falling (dovish) | 28 Oct | No value | Published a month late, no daily feed | No value | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 4.7% | 4.6% | +0.1% | 15 Oct | 19 Nov | 3.0% | 3.1% | −0.1% | 5 Nov | 7 Dec | |