Each factor read for EUR and for GBP, and what it means for the pair.
−8
Strong bearish
| Technical | Bearish | −3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −3 |
| Macro | Bearish | −2 |
|---|
| 7 sessions | 0.11% | |
|---|---|---|
| 90 sessions | 0.14% |
Average daily move
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineGBP surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | GBP | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −0.77% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 34.0% | 66.0% | +4.64 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 73% long, 27% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 12 Nov | No value | |
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | −0.4% | −0.1% | −0.3% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | |
| Neutral | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | −24 | −15 | −9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | |
| Inflation and rates | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | 3.5% | 3.4% | +0.1% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | |
| Neutral | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | 4.6% | 4.3% | +0.3% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | |
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | 4.71%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2% | 20 Oct | 17 Nov | |