Each factor read for GBP and for JPY, and what it means for the pair.
+4
Bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bullish | +1 |
| Macro | Neutral | 0 |
|---|
| 7 sessions | 0.29% | |
|---|---|---|
| 90 sessions | 0.32% |
Average daily move
GBP surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in lineJPY surprise 50%, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Factor and bias | GBP | JPY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.82% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bullish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bullish | 34.0% | 66.0% | +4.64 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 64.5% | 35.5% | −0.01 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 74% long, 26% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 12 Nov | No value | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7 Sept | 15 Nov | |
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.4% | −0.1% | −0.3% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | 2.3% | 3.3% | −1.0% | 29 Oct | 29 Nov | |
| Neutral | −24 | −15 | −9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | 35.0 | 35.1 | −0.1 | 29 Oct | 2 Dec | |
| Inflation and rates | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 3.5% | 3.4% | +0.1% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Neutral | 4.6% | 4.3% | +0.3% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 7.1% | 6.5% | +0.6% | 11 Nov | 9 Dec | |
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 4.71%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | 1.86%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2% | 20 Oct | 17 Nov | 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | 29 Oct | 30 Nov | |