Each factor read for GBP and for NZD, and what it means for the pair.
+7
Strong bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bullish | +2 |
| Macro | Bullish | +4 |
|---|
| 7 sessions | 0.38% | |
|---|---|---|
| 90 sessions | 0.27% |
Average daily move
GBP surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in lineNZD surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | GBP | NZD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −0.66% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bullish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bullish | 34.0% | 66.0% | +4.64 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 19.0% | 81.0% | −0.20 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Neutral | 42% long, 58% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 12 Nov | No value | 0.2% | 0.1% | +0.1% | 16 Sept | No value | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 56.5 | — | — | No value | Today | |||
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 50.9 | — | — | No value | 15 Nov | |||
| Neutral | −0.4% | −0.1% | −0.3% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | −0.5% | 0.1% | −0.6% | 23 Aug | 22 Nov | |
| Unavailable | −24 | −15 | −9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | 89.5 | — | — | No value | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 3.5% | 3.4% | +0.1% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 0.7% | 0.8% | −0.1% | 21 Oct | No value | |
| Neutral | 4.6% | 4.3% | +0.3% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 1.6% | 0.8% | +0.8% | 18 Aug | 18 Nov | |
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | 4.71%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | No free daily 2-year yield | No value | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2% | 20 Oct | 17 Nov | 5.7% | 5.5% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | No value | |