The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+3
Neutral
| Technical | Bearish | −1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −3 |
| Macro | Bullish | +7 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
AUD surprise 75%, 3 of 4 beatCAD surprise 0%, 0 of 4 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | AUD | CAD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.57% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 30.5% | 69.5% | −0.10 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 41.3% | 58.7% | +4.79 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 70% long, 30% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | 2 Sept | 2 Dec | 0.0% | 0.2% | −0.2% | 30 Oct | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 22 Nov | 49.6 | — | — | No value | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | No value | 1.2% | 1.3% | −0.1% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | |||
| Unavailable | −2.7 | — | — | No value | No value | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Inflation and rates | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4.3% | 4.2% | +0.1% | 28 Oct | 25 Nov | 3.1% | 3.2% | −0.1% | 19 Oct | 16 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 1.1% | 1.0% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | No value | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 4.95%, falling (dovish) | 28 Oct | No value | 3.13%, falling (dovish) | 9 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 4.7% | 4.6% | +0.1% | 15 Oct | 19 Nov | 6.7% | 6.5% | +0.2% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | |
−129,457Contracts net short, −1,142 this week
−41,775Contracts net short, +24,649 this week
Crowd score −1
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. AUD 75% now, 3 of 4 beat; CAD 0% now, 0 of 4 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.