The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+6
Bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bullish | +3 |
| Macro | Neutral | 0 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
CHF surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beatJPY surprise 50%, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Factor and bias | CHF | JPY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.22% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bullish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bullish | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.84 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 64.5% | 35.5% | −0.01 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bullish | 39% long, 61% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 1.5% | — | — | No value | 30 Nov | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7 Sept | 15 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 56.7 | 55.3 | +1.4 | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | Unavailable | No value | 24 Nov | |||
| Services PMI | Unavailable | No reading | No value | No value | |||||||
| Neutral | 1.6% | 3.0% | −1.4% | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | 2.3% | 3.3% | −1.0% | 29 Oct | 29 Nov | |
| Neutral | −43 | −35 | −8 | 6 Nov | No value | 35.0 | 35.1 | −0.1 | 29 Oct | 2 Dec | |
| Inflation and rates | No score | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 1.5% | 1.3% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | 2 Dec | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | No value | 7.1% | 6.5% | +0.6% | 11 Nov | 9 Dec | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | Published a month late, no daily feed | No value | No value | 1.86%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 3.0% | 3.1% | −0.1% | 5 Nov | 7 Dec | 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | 29 Oct | 30 Nov | |
−16,589Contracts net short, +3,460 this week
+102,321Contracts net long, +730 this week
Crowd score +1
30 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. CHF 60% now, 3 of 5 beat; JPY 50% now, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in line. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.