The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
−1
Neutral
| Technical | Bullish | +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Neutral | 0 |
| Macro | Bearish | −2 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineAUD surprise 75%, 3 of 4 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | AUD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −0.23% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Neutral | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Neutral | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 30.5% | 69.5% | −0.10 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Neutral | 43% long, 57% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | 2 Sept | 2 Dec | |
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Unavailable | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | −2.7 | — | — | No value | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | 4.3% | 4.2% | +0.1% | 28 Oct | 25 Nov | |
| Neutral | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | 1.1% | 1.0% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | No value | |
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | 4.95%, falling (dovish) | 28 Oct | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 4.7% | 4.6% | +0.1% | 15 Oct | 19 Nov | |
−157,791Contracts net short, −13,897 this week
−129,457Contracts net short, −1,142 this week
Crowd score 0
23 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. EUR 40% now, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in line; AUD 75% now, 3 of 4 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.