The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+5
Bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −3 |
| Macro | Bullish | +5 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineCAD surprise 0%, 0 of 4 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | CAD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.31% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 41.3% | 58.7% | +4.79 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 74% long, 26% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 0.0% | 0.2% | −0.2% | 30 Oct | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 49.6 | — | — | No value | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | 1.2% | 1.3% | −0.1% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | |
| Unavailable | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Inflation and rates | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | 3.1% | 3.2% | −0.1% | 19 Oct | 16 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | 3.13%, falling (dovish) | 9 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 6.7% | 6.5% | +0.2% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | |
−157,791Contracts net short, −13,897 this week
−41,775Contracts net short, +24,649 this week
Crowd score −1
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. EUR 40% now, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in line; CAD 0% now, 0 of 4 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.