The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
−9
Strong bearish
| Technical | Bearish | −2 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −3 |
| Macro | Bearish | −4 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineCHF surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | CHF | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −0.24% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.84 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 72% long, 28% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 1.5% | — | — | No value | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 56.7 | 55.3 | +1.4 | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | 1.6% | 3.0% | −1.4% | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |
| Neutral | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | −43 | −35 | −8 | 6 Nov | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | 1.5% | 1.3% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | 2 Dec | |
| Unavailable | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | Published a month late, no daily feed | No value | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 3.0% | 3.1% | −0.1% | 5 Nov | 7 Dec | |
−157,791Contracts net short, −13,897 this week
−16,589Contracts net short, +3,460 this week
Crowd score −1
23 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. EUR 40% now, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in line; CHF 60% now, 3 of 5 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.