The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
0
Neutral
| Technical | Bullish | +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −1 |
| Macro | Neutral | 0 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineJPY surprise 50%, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | JPY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −0.01% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Neutral | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 64.5% | 35.5% | −0.01 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 71% long, 29% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7 Sept | 15 Nov | |
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | 2.3% | 3.3% | −1.0% | 29 Oct | 29 Nov | |
| Neutral | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | 35.0 | 35.1 | −0.1 | 29 Oct | 2 Dec | |
| Inflation and rates | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Neutral | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | 7.1% | 6.5% | +0.6% | 11 Nov | 9 Dec | |
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | 1.86%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | 29 Oct | 30 Nov | |
−157,791Contracts net short, −13,897 this week
+102,321Contracts net long, +730 this week
Crowd score −1
23 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. EUR 40% now, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in line; JPY 50% now, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in line. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.