The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+4
Bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bullish | +1 |
| Macro | Bullish | +2 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
EUR surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in lineNZD surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | EUR | NZD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bearish | November average −1.44% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bullish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Neutral | 37.2% | 62.8% | −0.91 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 19.0% | 81.0% | −0.20 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bullish | 29% long, 71% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 0.4% | 0.2% | +0.2% | 30 Oct | 13 Nov | 0.2% | 0.1% | +0.1% | 16 Sept | No value | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 56.5 | — | — | No value | Today | |||
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 50.9 | — | — | No value | 15 Nov | |||
| Neutral | −0.7% | −0.1% | −0.6% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | −0.5% | 0.1% | −0.6% | 23 Aug | 22 Nov | |
| Unavailable | −17.9 | −17.0 | −0.9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | 89.5 | — | — | No value | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4 Nov | 18 Nov | 0.7% | 0.8% | −0.1% | 21 Oct | No value | |
| Neutral | 11.1% | 10.9% | +0.2% | 5 Nov | 3 Dec | 1.6% | 0.8% | +0.8% | 18 Aug | 18 Nov | |
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | 3.09%, falling (dovish) | 12 Nov | Daily | No free daily 2-year yield | No value | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 6.5% | 6.4% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | 2 Dec | 5.7% | 5.5% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | No value | |
−157,791Contracts net short, −13,897 this week
−60,015Contracts net short, −2,325 this week
Crowd score +1
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. EUR 40% now, 2 of 5 beat, 1 in line; NZD 40% now, 2 of 5 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.