The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+5
Bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bullish | +2 |
| Macro | Neutral | 0 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
GBP surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in lineAUD surprise 75%, 3 of 4 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | GBP | AUD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +0.57% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bullish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bullish | 34.0% | 66.0% | +4.64 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 30.5% | 69.5% | −0.10 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Neutral | 50% long, 50% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 12 Nov | No value | 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | 2 Sept | 2 Dec | |
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 22 Nov | ||||||||
| Unavailable | −0.4% | −0.1% | −0.3% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Unavailable | −24 | −15 | −9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | −2.7 | — | — | No value | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Neutral | 3.5% | 3.4% | +0.1% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 4.3% | 4.2% | +0.1% | 28 Oct | 25 Nov | |
| Neutral | 4.6% | 4.3% | +0.3% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 1.1% | 1.0% | +0.1% | 30 Oct | No value | |
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 4.71%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | 4.95%, falling (dovish) | 28 Oct | No value | ||||
| Jobs | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2% | 20 Oct | 17 Nov | 4.7% | 4.6% | +0.1% | 15 Oct | 19 Nov | |
−59,821Contracts net short, +19,593 this week
−129,457Contracts net short, −1,142 this week
Crowd score 0
21 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. GBP 60% now, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in line; AUD 75% now, 3 of 4 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.