The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
+10
Strong bullish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Neutral | 0 |
| Macro | Bullish | +7 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
GBP surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in lineCAD surprise 0%, 0 of 4 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | GBP | CAD | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 above SMA14, rising | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +1.10% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Neutral | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Neutral | 34.0% | 66.0% | +4.64 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 41.3% | 58.7% | +4.79 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Neutral | 45% long, 55% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 12 Nov | No value | 0.0% | 0.2% | −0.2% | 30 Oct | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | Unavailable | No value | 23 Nov | 49.6 | — | — | No value | 1 Dec | |||
| Unavailable | No reading | No value | 23 Nov | ||||||||
| Neutral | −0.4% | −0.1% | −0.3% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | 1.2% | 1.3% | −0.1% | 23 Oct | 20 Nov | |
| Unavailable | −24 | −15 | −9 | 22 Oct | 20 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Inflation and rates | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 3.5% | 3.4% | +0.1% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | 3.1% | 3.2% | −0.1% | 19 Oct | 16 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 4.6% | 4.3% | +0.3% | 21 Oct | 18 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Neutral | 4.71%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | 3.13%, falling (dovish) | 9 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 4.7% | 4.9% | −0.2% | 20 Oct | 17 Nov | 6.7% | 6.5% | +0.2% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | |
−59,821Contracts net short, +19,593 this week
−41,775Contracts net short, +24,649 this week
Crowd score 0
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. GBP 60% now, 3 of 5 beat, 1 in line; CAD 0% now, 0 of 4 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.