The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
−9
Strong bearish
| Technical | Bearish | −1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −2 |
| Macro | Bearish | −6 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
NZD surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beatCHF surprise 60%, 3 of 5 beatSurprise index
| Factor and bias | NZD | CHF | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +1.26% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Bearish | 19.0% | 81.0% | −0.20 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.84 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Neutral | 51% long, 49% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 0.2% | 0.1% | +0.1% | 16 Sept | No value | 1.5% | — | — | No value | 30 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 56.5 | — | — | No value | Today | 56.7 | 55.3 | +1.4 | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |
| Unavailable | 50.9 | — | — | No value | 15 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Neutral | −0.5% | 0.1% | −0.6% | 23 Aug | 22 Nov | 1.6% | 3.0% | −1.4% | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |
| Unavailable | 89.5 | — | — | No value | No value | −43 | −35 | −8 | 6 Nov | No value | |
| Inflation and rates | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 0.7% | 0.8% | −0.1% | 21 Oct | No value | 1.5% | 1.3% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | 2 Dec | |
| Unavailable | 1.6% | 0.8% | +0.8% | 18 Aug | 18 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | No reading | No value | Daily | |||||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 5.7% | 5.5% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | No value | 3.0% | 3.1% | −0.1% | 5 Nov | 7 Dec | |
−60,015Contracts net short, −2,325 this week
−16,589Contracts net short, +3,460 this week
Crowd score 0
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. NZD 40% now, 2 of 5 beat; CHF 60% now, 3 of 5 beat. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.