The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
−2
Neutral
| Technical | Bearish | −1 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Bearish | −1 |
| Macro | Neutral | 0 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
NZD surprise 40%, 2 of 5 beatJPY surprise 50%, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Factor and bias | NZD | JPY | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical | Bearish | Reading | Released | Next | |||||||
| Trend, daily | Bearish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 11 Nov | Daily | |||||||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average +1.51% | Nov | 1 Dec | |||||||
| Positioning | Bearish | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, weekly change | Neutral | 19.0% | 81.0% | −0.20 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov | 64.5% | 35.5% | −0.01 | 6 Nov | 16 Nov |
| Crowd, retail | Bearish | 74% long, 26% short | 12 Nov | Hourly | |||||||
| Growth | Bullish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bullish | 0.2% | 0.1% | +0.1% | 16 Sept | No value | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7 Sept | 15 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 56.5 | — | — | No value | Today | Unavailable | No value | 24 Nov | |||
| Unavailable | 50.9 | — | — | No value | 15 Nov | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Neutral | −0.5% | 0.1% | −0.6% | 23 Aug | 22 Nov | 2.3% | 3.3% | −1.0% | 29 Oct | 29 Nov | |
| Unavailable | 89.5 | — | — | No value | No value | 35.0 | 35.1 | −0.1 | 29 Oct | 2 Dec | |
| Inflation and rates | Neutral | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Unavailable | 0.7% | 0.8% | −0.1% | 21 Oct | No value | Unavailable | No value | No value | |||
| Neutral | 1.6% | 0.8% | +0.8% | 18 Aug | 18 Nov | 7.1% | 6.5% | +0.6% | 11 Nov | 9 Dec | |
| 2-year yield trend | Unavailable | No free daily 2-year yield | No value | No value | 1.86%, falling (dovish) | 11 Nov | Daily | ||||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 5.7% | 5.5% | +0.2% | 3 Nov | No value | 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | 29 Oct | 30 Nov | |
−60,015Contracts net short, −2,325 this week
+102,321Contracts net long, +730 this week
Crowd score −1
20 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. NZD 40% now, 2 of 5 beat; JPY 50% now, 2 of 4 beat, 1 in line. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.