The score, and every factor behind it with its own verdict.
−7
Strong bearish
| Technical | Bullish | +3 |
|---|---|---|
| Positioning | Neutral | 0 |
| Macro | Bearish | −10 |
Daily close only. Below, the daily total score as stored after each session; a gap is a day with no stored score. ▲ and ▼ mark a day the bias moved to a higher or lower band.
USD surprise 92%, 11 of 12 beat, 1 in lineSurprise index
| Technical | Bullish | Reading | Released | Next | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend, daily | Bullish | SMA3 below SMA14, falling | 10 Nov | Daily | ||
| Seasonality | Bullish | November average −0.61% | Nov | 1 Dec | ||
| Positioning | Neutral | Long | Short | Week Δ | Released | Next |
| COT, net positioning | Bearish | 29.9% | 70.1% | 6 Nov | Mon 16 Nov | |
| COT, weekly change | Bullish | +1.03 pt | 6 Nov | Mon 16 Nov | ||
| Crowd, TLT put/call | Neutral | 0.572, inside the bands | 11 Nov | Daily | ||
| Growth | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 3.4% | 3.2% | +0.2% | 29 Oct | 25 Nov | |
| Bearish | 55.5 | 54.5 | +1.0 | 2 Nov | 1 Dec | |
| Bullish | 54.5 | 54.8 | −0.3 | 4 Nov | 3 Dec | |
| Bearish | 0.8% | 0.3% | +0.5% | 15 Oct | Tue 17 Nov | |
| Bearish | 91.7 | 81.2 | +10.5 | 27 Oct | 24 Nov | |
| Inflation and rates | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 3.7% | 3.6% | +0.1% | 14 Oct | 10 Dec | |
| Bearish | 6.3% | 5.3% | +1.0% | 15 Oct | Fri 13 Nov | |
| Neutral | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 29 Oct | 25 Nov | |
| 2-year yield trend | Bullish | 4.73%, falling (dovish) | 10 Nov | Daily | ||
| Jobs | Bearish | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | Released | Next |
| Bearish | 165K | 65K | +100K | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | |
| Bearish | 4.1% | 4.2% | −0.1% | 6 Nov | 4 Dec | |
| Bearish | 189K | 197K | −8K | 5 Nov | Today | |
| Bearish | 86K | 67K | +19K | 4 Nov | 2 Dec | |
| Bearish | 7.523M | 7.150M | +0.373M | 3 Nov | 1 Dec | |
−962,359Contracts net short, +19,179 this week
Crowd score 0
14 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026. USD 92% now, 11 of 12 beat, 1 in line. Lines differ by shade and dash; pick a currency to show or hide its line.
Share of each economy's latest releases that beat consensus in the currency's favour; the dashed line marks 50%.