Each economy's latest releases against consensus, and what each surprise means for its currency and its stocks.
Share of releases bullish, neutral ones left out.
Assets tied to this economy, and CNY pairs against the other currency.
Surprise is actual minus consensus; impact is what it means for the currency and stocks.
Each economy's latest releases against consensus, and what each surprise means for its currency and its stocks.
Share of releases bullish, neutral ones left out.
Assets tied to this economy, and CNY pairs against the other currency.
Surprise is actual minus consensus; impact is what it means for the currency and stocks.
| Indicator | Period | Released | Actual | Consensus | Previous | Surprise | CNY | Stocks | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | |||||||||
| GDPy/y | Q3 | 19 Oct, 02:00 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | +0.1%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bullish | Last 2 releases, oldest first: Q2 2026 4.3%, Q3 2026 4.5% |
| Manufacturing PMI | Oct | 31 Oct, 01:30 | 49.3 | 49.9 | 50.1 | −0.6, consensus missed | Bearish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jul 2026 49.2, Aug 2026 49.8, Sept 2026 50.1, Oct 2026 49.3 |
| Services PMI | Oct | 31 Oct, 01:30 | 49.7 | 50.0 | 50.2 | −0.3, consensus missed | Bearish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jul 2026 49.0, Aug 2026 49.0, Sept 2026 50.2, Oct 2026 49.7 |
| Retail salesy/y | Sept | 19 Oct, 02:00 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | +0.6%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bullish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jun 2026 1.0%, Jul 2026 0.6%, Aug 2026 0.4%, Sept 2026 1.1% |
| Consumer confidence, No free source lists it | No value | No value | No value | No value | No value | No value | |||
| Inflation | |||||||||
| CPIy/y | Oct | 9 Nov, 01:30 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | −0.1%, consensus missed | Bearish | Bullish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jul 2026 0.5%, Aug 2026 0.8%, Sept 2026 0.9%, Oct 2026 0.7% |
| PPIy/y | Oct | 9 Nov, 01:30 | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | +0.4%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jul 2026 3.5%, Aug 2026 3.8%, Sept 2026 5.0%, Oct 2026 5.7% |
| Rates | |||||||||
| 2-year yield, No free source for a daily yield | No value | No value | No value | No value | No value | No value | |||
| Labor | |||||||||
| Unemployment rate | Sept | 19 Oct, 02:00 | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | −0.1%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bullish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jun 2026 5.0%, Jul 2026 5.2%, Aug 2026 5.3%, Sept 2026 5.2% |
Assets tied to this economy, and CNY pairs against the other currency.