Each economy's latest releases against consensus, and what each surprise means for its currency and its stocks.
Share of releases bullish, neutral ones left out.
Assets tied to this economy, and GBP pairs against the other currency.
Surprise is actual minus consensus; impact is what it means for the currency and stocks.
Each economy's latest releases against consensus, and what each surprise means for its currency and its stocks.
Share of releases bullish, neutral ones left out.
Assets tied to this economy, and GBP pairs against the other currency.
Surprise is actual minus consensus; impact is what it means for the currency and stocks.
| Indicator | Period | Released | Actual | Consensus | Previous | Surprise | GBP | Stocks | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | |||||||||
| GDPq/q | Q3 | 12 Nov, 07:00 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0%, consensus in line | Neutral | Neutral | Last 2 releases, oldest first: Q2 2026 0.5%, Q3 2026 0.7% |
| Manufacturing PMI, No free source for the actual | Oct | 23 Oct, 08:30 | No value | 51.7 | No value | No value | No value | No value | |
| Services PMI, No free source for the actual | Oct | 23 Oct, 08:30 | No value | 51.8 | No value | No value | No value | No value | |
| Retail salesm/m | Sept | 23 Oct, 06:00 | −0.4% | −0.1% | 0.7% | −0.3%, consensus missed | Bearish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jun 2026 1.0%, Jul 2026 −0.5%, Aug 2026 0.5%, Sept 2026 −0.4% |
| Consumer confidence | Oct | 22 Oct, 23:01 | −24 | −15 | −13 | −9, consensus missed | Bearish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jul 2026 −17, Aug 2026 −14, Sept 2026 −13, Oct 2026 −24 |
| Inflation | |||||||||
| CPIy/y | Sept | 21 Oct, 06:00 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | +0.1%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jun 2026 2.6%, Jul 2026 2.9%, Aug 2026 3.1%, Sept 2026 3.5% |
| PPIy/y | Sept | 21 Oct, 06:00 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | +0.3%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bearish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: Jun 2026 3.5%, Jul 2026 3.1%, Aug 2026 3.7%, Sept 2026 4.6% |
| Rates | |||||||||
| 2-year yielddaily | 11 Nov | 12 Nov, 12:00 | 4.71% | No value | 4.72% | −0.7 bp | Bearish | Bullish | |
| Labor | |||||||||
| Unemployment rate | Aug | 20 Oct, 06:00 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | −0.2%, consensus beat | Bullish | Bullish | Last 4 releases, oldest first: May 2026 4.9%, Jun 2026 4.9%, Jul 2026 4.9%, Aug 2026 4.7% |